Toots for HardBeingGreen@theblower.au account

Written by Paul on 2025-01-27 at 20:52

Interesting interview with Peter Malinauskus on #RNBreakfast

Covered a few topics, one that doesn't warrant a mention, education funding and the last one of needing a cabinet reshuffle because the Independent member, Dan Cregan, is resigning

He seemed quite positive about having independents in cabinet. A sign of things to come federally?

[#]auspol #SApol

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Written by Paul on 2025-01-27 at 05:50

The future of low cost housing?

3 adjoining units built in 12 days but they say in the future they can do it in 9 days

A good way to deal with labour shortages as well. Technology isn't all bad

https://www.goodgoodgood.co/articles/3d-printed-affordable-housing-europe

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Written by Paul on 2025-01-26 at 23:00

I have some friends I chat with online from the US every day

They've just told me that there are immigration raids happening in Santa Rosa CA at the moment. People are being hidden in basements etc

Apparently being streamed on tik tok

Things are getting very real, very quickly, for a lot of people

[#]USpol

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Written by Paul on 2025-01-25 at 22:31

Seems like Dutton is going to take a half Trump approach to the election

Picking up some of his attack lines on things like DEI, DOGE (with different names), mining and crime

Will run some lines on immigration and the like although will be restrained by the demands of business for staff

And looks to be trying to avoid touching gender and abortion, although can he keep his party, and the Nats, inline on those?

It's ugly stuff, question is will Australian voters buy it?

Speaking of buying it, Palmer is ramping up again in the background as well

Of course it also raises the question of election timing. Trump has only been in a week and is causing chaos already, is Albanese better off waiting until 17 May to see how bad it will get?

[#]auspol

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Written by Paul on 2025-01-25 at 07:32

Missed another one, Claire Chandler from Tassie into cabinet as well replacing Paul Fletcher

Dutton has played this pretty well. Promotes an unofficial moderate in Coleman and I think 3 females into the Shadow Cabinet

Also

With Price from the NT and Chandler from Tassie which would both have target seats

Paterson and Sukkar into the leadership team, both from Victoria which will obviously be a target with Labor polling terribly down there

Credit where it's due, these look like pretty smart moves. Well relatively lol

South Australia loses out, losing Birmingham with no replacement from there. Given up on it?

I hope the newcomers enjoy many years on the opposition benches

[#]auspol

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Written by Paul on 2025-01-25 at 03:52

Well that's a twist, David Coleman gets it despite not being talked about

Smart move to promote some females to cabinet in Jacinta Nampijinpa Price and Melissa McIntosh

Sussan misses out on the job she wanted ignoring convention. Will there be fallout?

[#]auspol

https://www.abc.net.au/news/2025-01-25/peter-dutton-frontbench-shake-up-election/104859212

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Written by Paul on 2025-01-24 at 20:33

It'll be fascinating to see how this plays out. Will Sussan get Foreign Affairs as Liberal Party convention dictates? Or be overlooked for one of the blokes?

[#]auspol

https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2025/jan/25/all-eyes-on-foreign-affairs-as-dutton-prepares-long-awaited-shadow-cabinet-reshuffle

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Written by Paul on 2025-01-24 at 20:27

7 - no coalition with the Greens, I'm ok with that but the reality is they'll almost certainly be in minority and are going to have to work with the crossbench. I expect the Greens to play a major role in the Senate. My preference is for it all to occur under another PM, not Dutton of course. A Teal? That would be interesting. Most likely Labor though

8 - probably good advice for Dutton to chill over Australia Day. Nothing is going to change, unfortunately. Dutton loves his culture wars, if I was Labor I'd be pointing out fighting them does nothing to help address cost of living

9 - Paris Agreement, smart to stay in. It would be ridiculous not to. Hopefully Trump is just a bump on the road. Good to see others in the US stepping up e.g. Bloomberg to guarantee the funding from there

Overall, it's going to be a fascinating election and election year

[#]auspol

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Written by Paul on 2025-01-24 at 20:18

So here's a summary of what he spoke about at the NPC from the Guardian and my thoughts

https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2025/jan/24/lessons-learned-medicare-and-attack-lines-nine-key-takeaways-from-albaneses-first-major-speech-in-2025

1 - apprentice and school funding, good to see

2 - biggest lesson, yeah world events have been a factor and will become a bigger one next term imo. Although hopefully not as big as Covid was in the previous one

3 - biggest achievement, keeping us out of recession? Yeah that's a good thing although the definition did a lot of heavy lifting

4 - campaign lines, I'm not sure Mediscare 2.0 is the way to go. It's been a long time since Dutton was a dud Health Minister. Focus on what they are actually promising i.e. cuts to services, employment conditions and ending the renewables rollout

5 - calling Dutton "weak" for not fronting the media could work although I wouldn't be using the term if I was Albo, he owns the label on many fronts. I hope he shakes it

6 - no referendums, gutless but understandable

TBC

[#]auspol

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Written by Paul on 2025-01-24 at 06:10

Why on earth would you give an NPC address on that day before a long weekend?

I think @sister_ratched was the only one I follow who watched and only because she was overruled lol

Kind of sums up the mess Labor is in at present imo

We desperately need a new kind of government after the election, I really hope Albanese doesn't mess that up by losing too many seats

[#]auspol #25in25

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Written by Paul on 2025-01-23 at 05:48

For what it's worth here's a forecast from the above mob if an election was held today

I like that it has neither party reaching majority, I have my doubts re the crossbench numbers at 16. Surely there'll be a few extra #25in25

Has something for every seat though which is fun

[#]auspol

https://www.aeforecasts.com/forecast/2025fed/nowcast/

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Written by Paul on 2025-01-19 at 21:08

New Freshwater Strategy Poll out today, kind of lines up with most of the polls lately so I'm thinking it's probably an accurate picture of where things are at

LNP - 40

Labor - 32

Independents - 15

Greens - 13

2pp is 51 - 49 to the the LNP

Preferred PM is tied

Another poll pointing to neither major party gaining majority, hopefully that's where we land 🤞

With thanks to Pollbludger

[#]auspol #25in25

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Written by Paul on 2025-01-17 at 06:29

Interesting one

Ley wants the Shadow Foreign Affairs gig and would normally get her choice as Deputy Leader

Seems there are plenty who don't want her in the role 🍿

Interesting re her previous position re Palestine

[#]auspol

https://www.afr.com/politics/federal/liberal-party-tensions-flare-over-ley-s-bid-for-foreign-affairs-20250117-p5l55w

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Written by Paul on 2025-01-17 at 06:13

All going smoothly in the lead up to the election lol

What a rabble

Katy Gallagher will be breathing a little more easily

[#]auspol

https://www.abc.net.au/news/2025-01-17/liberal-senate-candidate-canberra-vadakkedathu-disendorsement/104828880

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Written by Paul on 2025-01-15 at 07:47

Some will be sad about this news, I'm not one of them

He does have the legacy of playing a major role in the NDIS so I'll give him that

[#]auspol

https://www.abc.net.au/news/2025-01-15/bill-shorten-to-leave-early-ahead-of-cabinet-reshuffle/104820966

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Written by Paul on 2025-01-14 at 21:03

This one is obviously close to home for me but the opposition's attacks on the APS need to be called out

Jane Hume was on RN Breakfast this morning running their lines, to her credit Kylie Morris pushed back on some of the talking points

The 20% increase in APS numbers includes in-sourcing of previously outsourced work. Outsourcing is more expensive and the staff get paid less. Everyone is better off, except the outsource providers, with the work done by APS staff instead

500 staff were hired by Veterans Affairs to clear a massive backlog in application by veterans.

That is repeated across other agencies. Jobs weren't just created for the sake of it, they were created because there is work that needs to be done

They always say they won't cut frontline staff but the work of those staff is supported by those behind the scenes. Take away the support and it obviously has a flow on impact to frontline services

Don't buy the lies

[#]auspol #ProudToBePublic

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Written by Paul on 2025-01-14 at 00:03

Pretty good wide-ranging interview with Zoe Daniel on RN Breakfast this morning

I really don't see any of the Teals losing their seats and it's hard to imagine they won't win some more

[#]auspol #25in25

https://www.abc.net.au/listen/programs/radionational-breakfast/zoe-daniel-election-campaign-begins/104812710

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Written by Paul on 2025-01-13 at 21:04

There are lots of things that need to be funded by government but I think they are right in saying improving the NBN in areas that need it is an investment that will pay dividends

It's just a shame the original mantra of "do it once, do it with fibre" wasn't applied. Turnbull really dropped the ball on this one

Also agree it's increasingly concerning that people are relying on Starlink given how Musk has lost the plot

I wonder if the recent rash of spending in rural and regional areas is a lesson learnt from the Queensland election where Labor was crucified outside Brisbane?

[#]auspol #NBN

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Written by Paul on 2025-01-13 at 03:56

I just had reason to look up school holiday timing and it's not ideal for 12 April with Queensland, NT and Victoria on holidays at the time and everyone else starting that weekend

Mind you that flows through to crossing over with campaigning during the school holidays if it's 17 May

Maybe they do call it before WA finishes voting on 8 March for 5 April?

[#]auspol

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Written by Paul on 2025-01-13 at 00:30

There was a bit of discussion here this morning about Dutton's interview on AM this morning, here's a link. He was second up after the LA fires

I often tune out of this kind of thing but I wanted to hear what lines they'll be running given the election is getting closer, I still think 12 April

All pretty standard stuff, ridiculous they stole the NZ government slogan of "Back of Track" especially as NZ is a bit of a train wreck

Seems they are going to try and blame government spending, state and federal, for the cost of living crisis via it putting upward pressure on inflation and therefore interest rates

Strong appeals to small business and outer suburban voters

No surprise crime will be in play

No real substance in terms of policy at this stage so we'll see what they come up with

[#]auspol

https://www.abc.net.au/listen/programs/am/la-fire-emergency-continues/104462272

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