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Written by Chuck Darwin on 2025-02-03 at 05:09

When the New York Stock Exchange opens on Monday at 9:30 a.m. we will see just how seriously the world takes the assault Elon Musk and Donald Trump launched on the American system of government.

What follows is a guide for interpreting the drop.

First, some ground rules:

The securities markets have a system of circuit breakers to halt massive declines.

There are three circuit breakers that are measured by calculating a percentage decline in the S&P 500 from the close of the previous day:

Level 1 (7 percent),

Level 2 (13 percent), and

Level 3 (20 percent).

If Levels 1 or 2 are tripped before 3:25 p.m., all trading is halted for 15 minutes.

If Level 3 is tripped at any point in the day, trading is halted for the remainder of the day.

Last Friday the S&P closed at 6,041.

Trading ended at 4:00 p.m., per the norm,

but at 1:15 p.m. a selloff started when reports of Trump’s proposed tariffs against Canada and Mexico hit the wires.

In less than three hours, the S&P lost 1.1 percent from its daily high.

Here are the S&P’s circuit breaker numbers for Monday:

Level 1: 5,617

Level 2: 5,255

Level 3: 4,832

For context, since 2008 we have only had seven S&P drops greater than 7.6 percent in a single day https://www.thebulwark.com/p/follow-the-money-trump-musk-market-reaction-tariffs-canada-mexico-nyse-dow-sp500-treasury

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