I'm not even sure where to start with the 3.5% one. I could read the publications in question and go over them bit by bit but I have far too much to do, and I suspect that "3.5%" is about to die as a belief anyway.
There is an entire contemporary social science theory about revolutions that is not from hopeful leftists who may be experts in economics (Marx, etc.) It says that revolutions happen when the essential structure supporting the state fails.
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