"... probability probably does not exist — but it is often useful to act as if it does."
David Spiegelhalter provides a short essay that touches on the main aspects of the elusive idea of probability.
https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-024-04096-5
His book on Uncertainty just came out yesterday, which I expect will explain these ideas in more detail.
https://www.penguin.com.au/books/the-art-of-uncertainty-9780241658628
[#]MachineLearning #Statistics #Probability #scicomm
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