Toot

Written by Anthony Cowley on 2024-11-20 at 15:04

@jonmsterling For the sake of clarity, you'd like to be able to differentiate a claim that you are 99.9% sure is false from one that you are 50% sure is false from one that you estimate to have a 1% chance of being false. But that kind of precision tends to be unavailable, so we discretize into "believe Science" as you say. Scientists should embrace the challenge of this genuinely hard problem -- communication -- and do what they can to improve interpretations of their results.

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