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PART 2 From
Joakim Von Braun
[#]ukraine #UkraineWar #ukrainian
Weakened economy
Today, Russia's total military sector would take up over 50 percent of the country's GDP. So you have to understand that there is a lot in the Russian war budget that is hidden under a wide range of items that are not included in the Ministry of Defense.
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At the same time, the tax base has decreased due to all the men fighting in Ukraine, many thousands of people moving the country and a number of other factors. At the time of writing, interest rates are as high as 21 percent, inflation is very high, the country's inhabitants are not allowed to use dollar bills, unemployment is rising.... Is there an economic indicator pointing in the right direction?
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This morning, Dagens Nyheder reported on galloping Russian food prices ( https://www. dn. se/økonomi/russisk-mad-som-er-mest-i-pris-putin-bekymret/). The prices of Russian staple foods such as potatoes, onions, cabbage and beetroot have increased by 92, 48, 45 and 32 percent in 2024. The Food Price School would suffer a stroke if they came to visit!
Russia's infrastructure is severely damaged
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While the economy is going downhill, the infrastructure is also partially collapsing. More and more civilian aircraft are being grounded due to a combination of lack of spare parts and some aircraft being used as spare parts. In December 2024, the Estonian International Center for Defence and Security published the valuable 24-page report “The Iron Leviathan: Russia's Rail Network
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in its War against Ukraine” https://icds.ee/.../ICDS_Analysis_The_Iron_Leviathan_Kaspar pdf), which I would like to share with you Firstly, roads in Russia (and previously in the Soviet Union) have rarely been designed for long-distance transportation across large parts of the country. This is how railways and airplanes have been used - goods have been transported by rail, while people have flown from city to city.
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In Sweden, we have learned all the problems that a railway can bring in the form of icing, cracks, rust etc. Russia has it many times worse and ever since the country's first 5-year plan in the 1920s, the Kremlin has received falsified and distorted reports on the status of the railway (Yes, this applied to all reports on everything that flows into Moscow! ). In 2022, the railways in Russia are also subject to many deliberate attacks
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both on the ground and from the air. The Atesj party group (which I have previously reported on) has attacked Russian freight trains several times. In the last 18 months, trains in Moscow, Saratov, Yaroslavl, Belgorod, Nizhny Novgorod, Simferopol and St. Petersburg have been sabotaged or attacked. Sabotage against railways, railway bridges and trains continues,
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but not to the extent of 2022-2023. On the other hand, attacks from the air seem to continue to the same extent as before.
Ukraine's attacks prompted the Russians to quickly return to World War II armored trains. This was something that was used during WW2. Chechnya War and proved to be very effective. With the help of these trains, it was possible to get repair teams in place relatively quickly after the rails were sabotaged, among other things. It took barely two weeks after
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the start of the invasion for the first Russian armored train to appear.
China transportation is delayed
The specialized site Railfreight.com reported in the fall that the Russian railway is suffering from major problems in a number of areas and brought in transport from China. You quote a shipping specialist saying that “We are standing in line and waiting. Trains to Russia are delayed and changed. We have cases where trains have already
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been moved for three weeks. ”
In the writing “A methodology for the degradation of the Russian Federation's weapons” we can read that “Russia's defense industry is far from self-sufficient. All of Russia's complex weapons rely on microelectronics manufactured by NATO members and other states. “Despite all sanctions, more extensive investigations show that Russia manages to smuggle large quantities of high-tech components for
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use in its war industries. Russia manages to stay afloat thanks to its intelligence and corrupt traitors in the West who de facto sell us all out for a few dollars in our wallets. However, the criminals are not able to send as much as Russia needs in bulk, and in addition, Russian costs have increased. Another negative effect is that transportation takes much longer and the Russians repeatedly receive deliveries with fake components.
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It has been reported that mislabeled components end up in different weapon systems and that this is only discovered when you try to use them as intended. Then it can end in dismay.
Ukraine's attacks on targets in Russia successful
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Attacks on Russian targets have concentrated on the Russian oil industry and military targets such as airports and various large warehouses. In addition to many successful drone strikes, both Ukrainian-made missiles and those coming from the US, UK and France have hit quite a few times. In 2024, 40 Russian oil refineries have been attacked, either by drones or missiles.
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And while Ukraine's drones show great results, we can also see that home-made missiles are also very useful!
French Scalper, British Storm Shadow and American ATACMS have been very useful in 2024, but what seems surprising is the Ukrainian-made Neptune RK-360MT, which has wreaked havoc on the Russians. Ukraine now hopes to produce 9,000 Neptune missiles in the coming year
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