Ancestors

Written by JoeChip on 2025-01-06 at 02:57

Let's take a step back and reassess Duverger's Law & the idea that 3rd parties cannot succeed.

Its truth partially depends on the assumption that (D) & (R) are immutable categories that will exist forever.

This is historically false. There are periodic inflection points every century or so when existing political arrangements become so ossified they simply fail.

[#]PoliticalParties

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Written by JoeChip on 2025-01-06 at 03:04

Such an inflection point occurred in the pre-Civil-War era as divisions around slavery became too deep to sustain a functioning republic. This allowed the new Republican Party to step in and replace the Whigs.

Another inflection point occurred after the Great Depression. In this case the Dems were astute enough to seize the issue and run with it - revitalizing and extending its lifespan.

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Written by JoeChip on 2025-01-06 at 03:14

We see that there two possible responses to a fundamental paradigm shift.

1. Man the citadels and guard against any change in the status quo.

2. Catch the wave and ride the tide sweeping into the future.

The Democrats have chosen the first option, despite considerable internal discontent.

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Written by JoeChip on 2025-01-06 at 03:26

My assumption is that the US now confronts another historic inflection - equal in danger to the Civil War and the Great Depression.

In context this presents us with an unexpected opportunity: a realistic chance of defeating the devastating stranglehold of the institutional Dem Party.

This can be achieved by either overthrow or replacement. There are no other options that address the existential nature of the crisis.

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Toot

Written by Violet Madder on 2025-01-06 at 04:02

@JoeChip

MORE dangerous than those. The whole biosphere is at stake now.

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Descendants

Written by JoeChip on 2025-01-06 at 04:05

@violetmadder

Yes! A long-term political struggle is problematic in terms of survival.

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