Am I imagining this, or does Trump have unequal pupils? TIAs?
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Trump is going to use FEMA relief funds as a political weapon - and GOP is onboard.
Debate Over Conditional Aid for California Wildfire Relief https://search.app/ZBFYBU4h3GemE3wA9
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Research links intensifying wet and dry swings to the atmosphere's sponge-like ability to drop and absorb water.
https://search.app/bezrVPXqkrFZErPr5
Hydroclimate whiplash is intensifying the traditional seasonal wildfire cycle. This effect is expected to grow with increasing global warming.
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[#]Caturday
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Pluralistic: Occupy the Democratic National Committee; Picks and Shovels Chapter One (Part 2) (10 Jan 2025) – Pluralistic: Daily links from Cory Doctorow https://pluralistic.net/2025/01/10/smoke-filled-room-where-it-happens/#dinosaurs
Did you know the DNC keeps its member list secret, even from its own members? This is functionally necessary to insulate it from any kind of accountability.
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If you're an advocate of revamping the existing Dem Party keep in mind it won't be a gradualist project - the donor class wins that kind of fight every time.
Instead you will need to mount a strong offensive against current leadership. This is fully as difficult as creating a new party ex nihilo.
It also risks damaging the electoral chances of normie dems. I suspect even AOC wouldn't go that route.
/6
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Both replacement and takeover are options fraught with danger - actual physical danger.
Sufficient voting in primaries is critical to the replacement strategy, but it wouldn't work as a normal electoral operation. It would require an organized campaign of outside pressure to have even a remote chance. General strikes, withholding party donations, physical occupation of strategic influencers (like TV stations), feet on the ground.
/5
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My assumption is that the US now confronts another historic inflection - equal in danger to the Civil War and the Great Depression.
In context this presents us with an unexpected opportunity: a realistic chance of defeating the devastating stranglehold of the institutional Dem Party.
This can be achieved by either overthrow or replacement. There are no other options that address the existential nature of the crisis.
/4
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We see that there two possible responses to a fundamental paradigm shift.
The Democrats have chosen the first option, despite considerable internal discontent.
/3
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Such an inflection point occurred in the pre-Civil-War era as divisions around slavery became too deep to sustain a functioning republic. This allowed the new Republican Party to step in and replace the Whigs.
Another inflection point occurred after the Great Depression. In this case the Dems were astute enough to seize the issue and run with it - revitalizing and extending its lifespan.
/2
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Let's take a step back and reassess Duverger's Law & the idea that 3rd parties cannot succeed.
Its truth partially depends on the assumption that (D) & (R) are immutable categories that will exist forever.
This is historically false. There are periodic inflection points every century or so when existing political arrangements become so ossified they simply fail.
[#]PoliticalParties
/1
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Get your block finger ready.
The Democratic Party is a right wing party. Irretrievably so. Expecting Bismarckian reform efforts to make the smallest dent in fascism is beyond delusory.
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The Book has mysteriously disappeared from my YouTube ad feed, to be replaced by the "do this until February 1st" dude. The ways of the algorithm are strange indeed.
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Microfoundations — the art of assuming away problems rather than solving them | LARS P. SYLL https://larspsyll.wordpress.com/2025/01/02/microfoundations-the-art-of-assuming-away-problems-rather-than-solving-them/
As Paul Krugman once remarked — “what we call ‘microfoundations’ are not like physical laws. Heck, they’re not even true.”
[#]Economics
[#]RealWorldEconomics
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[#]Caturday
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Will Democrats continue their traditional political malpractice?
If Dems decide to oppose Trump's proposal to eliminate the debt ceiling, you'll have your answer.
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How inequality causes financial crises | LARS P. SYLL https://larspsyll.wordpress.com/2024/12/19/how-inequality-causes-financial-crises/
"the rise in savings by the top 1% of the income or wealth distribution has been substantial, and has been associated with dissaving, in other words borrowing...The combination of demand for debt by the non-rich, and the excess of funds supplied by the rich, caused the ratio of household debt to disposable income to rise from 77 percent in 1983 to 177 percent in 2007 for the bottom 95% income group of U.S. households."
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How The Resource Squeeze Will Play Out – Ian Welsh https://www.ianwelsh.net/how-the-resource-squeeze-will-play-out/
"...we’re caught in a situation where per-capita resources will go down even as elites take a higher share."
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Mainstream distribution myths | LARS P. SYLL
https://larspsyll.wordpress.com/2024/12/13/mainstream-distribution-myths/
"Pretending that the distribution of income and wealth that results from a long set of policy decisions is somehow the natural workings of the market is not a serious position."
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“If it were done when 'tis done, then 'twere well it were done quickly”
There's every incentive for Trump to act quickly and decisively, before any opposition can be organized.
In practice, this means declaring a state of national emergency, which will allow him to assume nearly dictatorial powers - all within the law.
BTW, it was Obama who signed this provision into law.
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