Toots for taatm@mathstodon.xyz account

Written by The Animal and the Machine on 2025-01-20 at 13:18

While Russia’s military has degraded to Mad Max junk, NATO has also… er… upgraded.

Russia is losing to equipment NATO considers obsolete.

[#]Ukraine drone tech also more than offsets Russia’s manpower advantage.

Russia can’t win.

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Written by The Animal and the Machine on 2025-01-19 at 11:05

Ukraine could be in #NATO sooner than you think! 2026 is possible.

If Russia economically collapses, Ukraine regains all its territory and is Russia free. If you are Poland, Germany etc, do you want #Ukraine as your border with a Russia defeating army?

Obviously yes!

Ukraine: The Shield of Europe

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Written by The Animal and the Machine on 2025-01-17 at 23:12

So it turns out that while Biden wasn’t allowing the use of existing long range US weapons to strike Russia, he was pumping in $1.5bn for #Ukraine to invent their own.

Such a mixed legacy from Biden.

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Written by The Animal and the Machine on 2025-01-17 at 00:45

[#]Ukraine’s strikes on Russia’s oil industry is very smart. It’s not just doing actual significant damage to their income, it’s actually doing something even more significant.

With a mono-economy, it’s damaging confidence in ability to pay.

A liquidity crisis is coming for Russia.

Then collapse.

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Written by The Animal and the Machine on 2025-01-17 at 00:40

The UK GDP on its own is probably now about double Russia’s. We’re just signed an agreement that says we’re backing #Ukraine for 100 years.

What ya gonna do Russia? I can tell you. You are going to lose.

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Written by The Animal and the Machine on 2025-01-17 at 00:30

Watch the money. Always watch the money.

When we see economists and central bankers defect, we will know Russia is about to collapse. There will be a narrow window when they can get out with reduced fear of retribution because they expect the house to collapse on the FSB behind them.

[#]Ukraine

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Written by The Animal and the Machine on 2025-01-16 at 13:32

What I said yesterday:

tl;dr Russian banks are being made to fund war factories, which means people’s savings are being leveraged. When it pops, everything in Russia will break.

https://mastodon.social/@hanse_mina/113838262535976789

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Written by The Animal and the Machine on 2025-01-16 at 09:25

@randahl What are the ‘must knows’ for potential YouTube creators?

Should we start with a specific format so it uploads easy? Is there a hope worth jumping through. What would you tell to someone starting out?

Asking for a friend. Your friend.

Thanks

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Written by The Animal and the Machine on 2025-01-16 at 09:17

[#]Ukraine is going to have a post war boom economy. Any economy that can attach itself to that will get splashed with a boost.

The UK has an advantage over most as we bring nukes to the table. Permanent security has to have a nuclear element.

https://flipboard.com/@kyivindependent/latest-news-3soaprjhz/-/a-j-Yk8GM8RcOxh9jX4FbNJA%3Aa%3A4087431301-%2F0

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Written by The Animal and the Machine on 2025-01-15 at 09:15

• The Russian strategy is to defeat #Ukraine’s army.

• The Ukrainian strategy is to break the Russian economy. 🇺🇦

• This is a winner takes all war to exhaustion. A few fields don’t matter, only ratio.

• Western GDP is so high vs Russia we haven’t noticed the war economically.

Russia can’t win this.

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Written by The Animal and the Machine on 2025-01-15 at 08:48

There is paranoia in Moscow that Putin would simply take all the oligarch and wealthy money directly from their bank accounts. Putin would never steal their money this way. He’d steal it a different way.

He would find the bank with the cash and have that bank write a loan to the arms factory. When Putin is killed the arms factory will collapse and then the bank will collapse. Then Russia will collapse.

Then China will peace-keep to its North to protect Chinese speakers.

[#]Ukraine

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Written by The Animal and the Machine on 2025-01-15 at 08:29

• Inflation made the Russian factories insolvent so Putin ordered the banks to fund them regardless.

• This made the banks insolvent but Putin ordered them to keep going. He is probably sending them money from ‘central reserves’.

This is printing money.

[#]Ukraine

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Written by The Animal and the Machine on 2025-01-15 at 08:25

Russian cash reserves are so low, full sanctions that will harm Europe will now have a bigger impact on Russia. Russia needs cash badly to prevent cascade failure.

[#]Ukraine

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Written by The Animal and the Machine on 2025-01-15 at 08:19

I fear Biden US strategy on #Ukraine has changed from non-escalation and preservation of Russian state to ‘total bleed out’ of Russian state by spending Ukraine. It requires no change in them and anyway, this is now entirely academic.

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Written by The Animal and the Machine on 2025-01-15 at 08:09

Recoilless gun-drones are physically easy. The gun as made for humans has a recoil as we are shielding the person holding it. You could make a recoilless shotgun drone by simply putting a cartridge in a pipe and let it blast out the back.

Yes the shield is used to put more force forward but I don’t think distance is an issue for the shot, given that the drone can fly the difference and then some.

The hard part is they don’t exist yet off the shelf. You can expect a 3D printed design to circulate, hand delivered to avoid Russia getting a copy.

[#]Ukraine

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