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Written by Paul on 2025-01-20 at 13:24

I laughed when I saw Farage talking about his odds of being PM as 25%. Then I looked at the odds on Betfair and they are 100/30, which is... 23% (30 / (100 + 30)).

(this is for the next PM after Starmer, Farage has the lowest odds, and anyone placing/accepting bets has a strong financial incentive to offer accurate odds)

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