Ancestors

Toot

Written by Moose Jolly Holcomb on 2025-01-17 at 12:32

Sometime soon, maybe this year, a bunch of insurance premiums are going to become too expensive or get pulled altogether.

Insurance unaffordable in high risk locations.

Commercial real estate markets collapse in those areas.
Commercial real estate in other areas drops significantly.
Financial instruments based on commercial real estate go sour.
Financial firms contract or fail
Companies relying on loans can't get them (think AI)
Worse than 2008 financial crisis likely

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Descendants

Written by Moose Jolly Holcomb on 2025-01-17 at 12:35

The thing to do to avoid this would be to see it was inevitable are start reducing exposure several years ago, which is totally a thing that was obvious then. Instead we have companies making bets on the next big thing (think AI) in a way that threatens the whole economy.

Like I don't particularly like Microsoft but if they become financially unstable due to AI collapse it fucks almost all other large businesses.

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