Ancestors

Written by Punch Fascists Liberally on 2024-11-09 at 14:28

I hate to be the bearer of MORE bad news, but …

Although there are 14 GOP senators up in 2026 vs only 10 Dems, the opportunities for pickups are few & there are D seats that will be tough to defend.

MOST VULNERABLE: Senators who won in 2020 with <50%:

• Gary Peters (D-MI), 49.9% (Trump carried MI in ‘24)

• Tina Smith (DFL-MN), 48.7% (Harris)

• Thom Tillis (R-NC), 48.7% (Trump)

2020 win 50-51%:

• John Ossoff (D-GA), 50.6% (Trump)

• Susan Collins (R-ME), 51% (Harris)

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Toot

Written by Punch Fascists Liberally on 2024-11-09 at 14:40

Adding senators who won in 2020 w/53% or less, still a wash:

• Ben Ray Luján (D-NM), 51.7% (Harris)

• Joni Ernst (R-IA), 51.8% (Trump)

Even looking at 2028, when Trump will probably still be on the ballot,* the picture is no brighter. 19 Reps & 15 Dems up:

• Three Dems in 51-52% band: Warnock/GA (Trump ‘24), Fetterman/PA (Trump), Kelly/AZ (TBD)

• One Dem under 50%: Cortez Masto/NV, 48.8% (Trump)

• Two GOPers in 50-51% band: Johnson/WI (Trump), Budd/NC (Trump)

Grim.

• Yes, I know. And yet.

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Descendants