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Written by Zach Weinersmith on 2024-11-08 at 18:58

Seeing this posted everywhere, but isn't this obviously a bad use of data? Like, you have a bunch of questions asking a highly polarized public whether things are good currently on a variety of indicators. Surely the divorce from reality runs in the opposite direction once the administration flips, at least to some extent, no?

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Written by Ty Jones on 2024-11-08 at 19:34

@ZachWeinersmith I'm reminded of this article from 538 a couple years ago. 2020 there is a partisan flip, however in 2016, only one party had an immediate flip when the administration changed. I think 2020 is difficult to assess given there was a pandemic and once things calmed down with that, people were feeling much more optimistic, but it could still very well be that these questions are becoming reactionary for both parties as you suggest. https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/republicans-pessimistic-views-on-the-economy-have-little-to-do-with-the-economy

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