On prediction markets: the Thiel-backed Polymarket is being heavily swung by money from a few rich "whales", one of whom has placed more than $20 million in pro-Trump bets through a single account (and might have others).
The "wisdom of crowds", this ain't. At best, it's laundered preferences of a few rich jerks with enough money to swing the "market". And given who's backing it, it might've been intended as a way to blow smoke about candidates' actual popularity.
https://cointelegraph.com/news/polymarket-whale-trump-odds-manipulation
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