“The problem is when political actors or influencers take one real problem,” @uwcip research manager Danielle Lee Tomson told @nbcnews, “and misleadingly exaggerate its impact or scope to indicate some larger coordinate fraud or mass conspiracy.”
“We expect to see a huge focus on swing states, voting machines and voter eligibility,” Tomson said. [2/2]
Read more: https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2024-election/officials-brace-flood-disinformation-legal-claims-election-day-finally-rcna177349
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@nbcnews highlights our election rumor research work at the @uwcip: "In Seattle, 25 researchers at the Center for an Informed Public will work in shifts to document rumors as they arise on Election Day and beyond. It is one of a few large-scale academic projects still studying election disinformation — several prominent others shuttered or were weakened in response to a conservative attack on such research." [1/2]
https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2024-election/officials-brace-flood-disinformation-legal-claims-election-day-finally-rcna177349
[#]Seattle #2024Elections
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In 2024, we have already seen dozens of reports of both real and perceived issues with voting machines as well as ongoing conspiracy theorizing about their alleged use in election fraud schemes.
This year, we also may see more restraint from institutional media and online influencers when considering amplifying rumors about voting machines given the defamation suits. [2/2]
Read our latest analysis: https://www.cip.uw.edu/2024/11/04/voting-machine-rumors/
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Rumors and conspiracy theories about voting machines were a major theme during the last presidential election, but they did not begin to truly “go viral” until five days after Election Day 2020.
Rumors about voting machines in 2020 took two forms: “rumors of concern” about perceived issues with the machines and more detailed conspiracy theories about the vulnerability of voting machines to intentional manipulation. [1/2]
https://www.cip.uw.edu/2024/11/04/voting-machine-rumors/
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“Voters have been primed by the election fraud narrative,” @uwcip graduate research assistant Zarine Kharazian, a member of our election rumor research team, said in an interview with the @arizonamirror. “There’s a broader repertoire of rumors from which to choose.”
Read more: https://azmirror.com/2024/11/04/maricopa-county-is-ground-zero-for-election-misinformation-in-2024/
[#]Arizona #2024Elections
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Compared to the 2020 and 2022 U.S. elections, in 2024, there are three key differences impacting our forecast of the types of rumors we anticipate see emerge on and after Election Day:
(1) Priming and loss of trust.
(2) Mature evidence generation infrastructure.
(3) Non-citizen voting rumors.
Read more: https://www.cip.uw.edu/2024/10/31/what-to-expect-election-week-uncertainty-rumors/
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The @nytimes recently visited the @uwcip and our election rumor research team. The Times writes: "Inside two small, windowless conference rooms on the campus of the University of Washington in Seattle, a group of students and researchers is prowling the internet to track the rumors and conspiracy theories eroding faith in this year’s presidential election."
Read more: https://www.nytimes.com/2024/11/01/technology/election-disinformation.html
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Rumoring will likely be widespread and diffuse on Election Day, before consolidating around core themes and specific stories as polls close, results come in, and candidates and political influencers weigh the value of different rumors for advancing their political aims. [4/4]
Read more in our new What to Expect During Election Week analysis: https://www.cip.uw.edu/2024/10/31/what-to-expect-election-week-uncertainty-rumors/
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On Election Day, we can expect to see dozens or even hundreds of rumors emerge as the events of the day — likely to include both real and perceived issues, mistakes, irregularities, and disputes — are documented and shared online.
These rumors are likely to echo familiar tropes and align with common themes, e.g., around perceived voter fraud. [1/4]
Read more in our new What to Expect During Election Week analysis: https://www.cip.uw.edu/2024/10/31/what-to-expect-election-week-uncertainty-rumors/
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"There are lawyers at the ready to go take these rumors, misperceptions, misinterpretations, convert those into affidavits on Election Day or the days following, and try to use that either to contest whether certain votes are counted in certain places… or to use that to try to pressure election officials and others not to certify results," @uwcip co-founder @katestarbird said in a @NPR interview:
https://www.npr.org/2024/10/31/nx-s1-5165523/voting-election-conspiracy-theories-social-media
[#]2024Elections
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In a new post, the @uwcip election rumor research team looks at Florida's Oct. 16 announcement that it is suing the U.S. Department of Homeland Security, claiming that DHS must provide federal citizenship data to Florida so it can clean its voter rolls.
DHS’s refusal to provide the requested data has been a vector for online rumoring, alleging it is preventing states from securing their elections or that Democrats specifically are enabling non-citizen voting.
https://www.cip.uw.edu/2024/10/24/florida-dhs-citizenship-data-rumors/
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In a @Nature commentary, @katestarbird writes: "We can anticipate many false claims, including alleged mass voting by non-citizens or ‘suspicious vans’ outside polling booths. We should quickly counter them."
Starbird describes 3 types of rumors that our @uwcip team anticipates to see as we approach voting day.
Read the Nature commentary: https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-024-03401-6
[#]2024Elections #Voting
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As mail-in ballots are being sent and returned across many states, there is an expected rise in rumors regarding ballot handling and fraud. A recent case from October 13 originating from the subreddit r/LosAngeles falls into this category.
Read more: https://www.cip.uw.edu/2024/10/16/fake-mail-in-ballot-envelope-rumors/
[#]2024Elections #Elections
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In both events, newsbrokering accounts not only curated and disseminated information but also often framed it to fit existing narratives and conspiratorial themes surrounding the assassination attempts.
Social media exhibits a trend toward the oligarchization of the news environment, where a few accounts can dominate important discourse.
Read more: https://www.cip.uw.edu/2024/10/14/newsbrokering-on-x-trump-assassination-attempts/
[#]MediaLiteracy #SocialMedia [3/3]
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Five of the nine most prominent newsbrokering accounts had previously been suspended from X or other platforms.
Traditional news outlets, despite having significantly more followers and twice as many tweets, struggled to compete with newsbrokering accounts in terms of audience engagement. [2/3]
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A small number of accounts were highly prominent in the discourse on X/Twitter surrounding both the July and September 2024 assassination attempts on Donald Trump.
In a new @uwcip analysis, we conceptualize the behaviors of these accounts as "newsbrokering" — the selective curation and dissemination of information by news influencers during breaking news events.
https://www.cip.uw.edu/2024/10/14/newsbrokering-on-x-trump-assassination-attempts/ [1/2]
[#]SocialMedia #MediaLiteracy
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The @uwcip election rumor research team has published a new analysis looking at how an error in Arizona’s voter registration system has fueled rumors of non-citizen voting. This rumor contributes to an over-arching false narrative of mass non-citizen voting in the 2024 election.
Read more: https://www.cip.uw.edu/2024/10/10/arizona-voter-registration-error-rumors-non-citizen-voting/
[#]2024Elections #Arizona
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The @uwcip election rumor research team has published a set of recommendations for journalists and news organizations writing about and covering election rumors.
We discuss the foundational challenges faced by journalists on the mis/disinformation beat; provide a framework for reporting on election uncertainty; and highlight some of the novel challenges journalists can expect in the current election cycle.
https://www.cip.uw.edu/2024/10/03/recommendations-journalists-covering-election-rumors-2024/
[#]Journalism #2024Elections
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Our @uwcip election rumor research team has a new analysis that examines rumors that Democrats are trying to commit voter fraud via the Uniformed and Overseas Citizens Absentee Voting Act (UOCAVA): https://www.cip.uw.edu/2024/10/01/rumors-democrats-voter-fraud-uocava/
[#]2024Elections #Elections
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Through our ongoing election rumor research at @uwcip, we've found that there are still significant differences in English and Spanish language search experiences for election information on TikTok, Facebook, and Instagram.
Read more: https://www.cip.uw.edu/2024/09/26/election-information-social-media-policies-english-spanish/
[#]2024Elections #SocialMedia
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